Bernie v Hillary

Interesting demographics in the South Carolina and Nevada turn out. Despite some pundits claims that Hillary is in cruise mode…There still could be an upset in the making if the voting demographics hold up. Basically, Hillary won the black vote…But Bernie won the Hispanic. Hillary’s voters were older, Bernie’s under 45.

It is still a horse race.

What is interesting is the if Sanders were the candidate – he beats all the Republicans handily in polls… The outlier here being positive poll numbers for Rubio. I just don’t see a third rate candidate like Rubio not losing by double digits.

Clinton v Republicans

RCP Average- Trump

2/2 – 2/17

45.3

42.5

Clinton +2.8

RCP Average – Cruz

2/2 – 2/17

45.3

44.5

Cruz +0.8

RCP Average – Rubio

2/2 – 2/17

47.5

42.8

Rubio +4.7

RCP Average – Kasich

2/10 – 2/17

47.7

40.3

Kasich +7.4

RCP Average – Carson

12/6 – 2/3

46.3

45.0

Clinton +1.3

Sanders v Republicans

RCP Average – Trump

1/9 – 2/17

48.8

41.0

Sanders +7.8

RCP Average – Cruz

2/2 – 2/15

44.0

44.0

Tie

RCP Average

2/10 – 2/15

43.0

42.5

Sanders +0.5

RCP Average

2/2 – 2/15

45.7

41.0

Sanders +4.7

RCP Average

10/29 – 2/3

45.3

44.0

Sanders +1.3

 

Sanders may have lost Nevada, but he won over the crucial Hispanic vote

Bernie Sanders may have fallen short against Hillary Clinton in Nevada today (Feb. 20), but there was a silver lining: The Vermont senator won 53% of the vote among Hispanic voters, in the first diverse state to hold its caucus, according to entrance polls.

Young voters were the difference: Sanders won 68% to 28% lead among minorities under 45 years old, showing that he resonates with millennials in Nevada, regardless of race, just as much as he did in New Hampshire and Iowa.

But, as FiveThirtyEight noted, Nevada’s voters are mostly old. And the support of millennials and the Latino community wasn’t enough to edge out Clinton, who won the Nevada Democratic caucus with 52% of the vote.

Entrance polls aren’t foolproof. As some pundits have said, in this particular case, they leave out Nevada’s most-populated county—Clark County. And, as Vox notes, they have incorrectly predicted the Latino vote in the past.

But based on the data currently on hand, 70% of voters who showed up to the polls today were over the age of 45. Among that group, Clinton led with two-thirds of the vote. She was also ahead with non-white voters overall, winning by a huge margin with black voters.

Clinton still has strong support among older Hispanic voters—a divide that was highlighted when Sanders supporters reportedly interrupted efforts by civil-rights leader Dolores Huerta, to provide Spanish translation at a rally at Harrahs casino.

 

Trumped…The Hispanic Vote

Last Presidential election only about 48% of the eligible Hispanic voters in this country turned out to vote. Something between 71-73% voted for President Obama.

Due in no small part to the anti-immigrant vitriol and racism of Trump and other Republican candidates – this group, “Latino VIctory Project”, aims to rectify that situation. Hopefully other Hispanic groups in the country (Latino and Hispanic mean different things, although all Latinos are also Hispanic – the reverse is not true).

 

 

Conservatives Smoking Crack..And Meth!

Last week Bill the Bloviate O’Liely declared “I’m the reporter in this country who has shed the most light on young black men being killed.”

This week, The Donald declared “I’ll win both the Hispanic and black vote!”

Now as to that Obama has done nothing….

 

Is Marco Rubio the Hispanic Herman Cain? Tio Thomas… Indeed.

Not sure whose headlights Marco Rubio stepped in front of today, but fresh on the heels of a Washington Post story about Rubio lying about his parent’s immigration to the US, and the possibility he my not be Constitutionally eligible to serve as as Senator or VP…

Comes this story about the loss of love for him in the Hispanic community, for what us black folks would call inveterate Tomming.

A light skinned version of Herman Cain or Alan West.

Has Marco Rubio sold out?

Poor Marco Rubio. Florida’s junior senator could have been a contender. Instead, he’s become a caricature.

In parts of the Hispanic community, Rubio is thought of as just another ambitious politician who is willing to sell out Latinos to curry favor with Anglo colleagues. That’s what you hear from Internet chatter, letters to the editor, Latino listservs and comments on Spanish-language media.

Just seven months after taking office, the Republicans’ great Latino hope has squandered the one thing that made him unique, interesting and valuable to his party: the potential that he could help mend fences with disaffected Latino voters alienated by the GOP’s simplistic and mean-spirited approach to the immigration issue.

 

Not Just Black Folks – Republican Status With Hispanics Drops to Record Lows

Statistically, since Raygun 89-92% of black folks have voted Democrat.

It now appears, since “Arizona”, Hispanic voting patterns may mirror that of black folks.

NBC/MSNBC/Telemundo poll on immigration…

• 68% of Latinos approve of Obama’s job (compared with 48% of overall respondents and 38% of whites)
• They view the Democratic Party favorably by a 54%-21% score (versus 41%-40% among all adults and 34%-48% among whites).
• GOP fav/unfav among Latinos is 22%-44%.
• Latinos think Democrats would do a better job than Republicans in protecting the interests of minorities (by 58%-11%),
• Latinos think Democrats would do a better job than Republicans in representing the opportunity to move up the economic ladder (46%-20%),
• Latinos think Democrats would do a better job than Republicans in dealing with immigration (37%-12%), and
• Latinos think Democrats would do a better job than Republicans in promoting strong moral values (33%-23%).
• The only advantage they gave Republicans was in enforcing security along the border (31%-20%).

*** Dropping like a rock: It didn’t use to be this way. In 2004, George W. Bush, the former governor of Texas, won some 40% of the Latino vote. But in 2006, that percentage for Republicans dropped to 30%, and it was 31% in ’08. And check out these party identification averages among Latinos that our Hart (D)/McInturff (R) pollsters put together from our past NBC/WSJ polls; this chart puts together the YEARLY average of all Hispanics surveyed for each year (approximately 900 respondents are included in each yearly sample):

— In 2004, Dems held a 22-point edge in party identification among Latinos (49%-27%)
— In 2005, it was 24 points (48%-24%)
— In 2006, it was 26 points (50%-22%)
— In 2007, it was 30 points (52%-22%)
— In 2008, it was 35 points (57%-22%)
— In 2009, it was 31 points (50%-19%)
— And so far in 2010, it has been 36 points (58%-22%).

According to Public Policy Polling, this is beginning to have a serious impact on several races in Western States –

When we polled Colorado in early March Michael Bennet and Jane Norton were tied. Last week we found Bennet with a 3 point lead. One of the biggest reasons for that shift? Bennet went from leading Norton by 12 points with Hispanic voters to a 21 point advantage. That large shift in a Democratic direction among Hispanics mirrors what we saw in our Arizona Senate polling last month- Rodney Glassman went from trailing John McCain by 17 points with them in September to now holding a 17 point lead.

 

The Death of Conservatism – Another High Tech Lynching

The Hispanic vote in the US is far more nuanced and complex than many commentators have given Hispanics credit for. There are vast differences between groups from different countries who have different interests, and have significant cultural and ethnic differences.

This has resulted in a split in the Hispanic vote, between people whose background is from Mexico or Central America, those of South America, and people from Cuba. While Cuban descendants in Florida have historically leaned Republican the last 5 elections, recently the Mexican and central American vote has split 65-35 Democratic.

Sonia Sotomayor

With the hearings for Sototmayor’s confirmation to the Supreme Court, that will likely take a drastic turn – especially if conservatives pursue the incendiary, racist line of questioning they have proposed…

The firefighter/plaintiff of the New Haven, Conn., affirmative action case is on the minority’s witness list for next week’s hearings on Sonia Sotomayor’s nomination to the Supreme Court. If nothing else, it’ll set up a TV-friendly “battle” with the nominee. And it marks a change from June, when Ricci’s attorney refused to say what her client thought of Sotomayor.

The full Republican list, annotated with that person’s special area of interest:

*Linda Chavez, President, Center for Equal Opportunity (labor, affirmative action)
*Sandy Froman, Esq., Former President, National Rifle Association of America (guns)
*Dr. Stephen Halbrook, Attorney (guns)
*Tim Jeffries, Founder, P7 Enterprises
*Peter Kirsanow, Commissioner, U.S. Commission on Civil Rights (affirmative action)
*David Kopel, Esq., Independence Institute (guns)
*John McGinnis, Professor, Northwestern University School of Law (affirmative action)
*Neomi Rao, Professor, George Mason University School of Law (Constitutional law)
*Frank Ricci, Director of Fire Services, ConnectiCOSH (Connecticut Council on Occupational Safety and Health) (affirmative action)
*David Rivkin, Esq., Partner, Baker Hostetler (presidential power)
*Nick Rosenkranz, Professor, Georgetown University School of Law (presidential power)
*Ilya Somin, Professor, George Mason University School of Law (Constitutional law)
*Lieutenant Ben Vargas, New Haven Fire Department (affirmative action)
*Dr. Charmaine Yoest, Americans United for Life (pro-life)

The presence of only one pro-life activist on the list is striking.

The names in bold constitute the conservative race pimps, who will try to turn the hearing into a forum on white supremacy, aided and abetted by Snidely Whiplash, AKA Peter Kirsanow, Uncle Tom extraordinaire.

Should be about as many Hispanic Republicans left when this is done as black Republicans…

Which is damn scarce.

Elton John took this Civil Rights song and made it a hit – “The Border Song”