Interesting demographics in the South Carolina and Nevada turn out. Despite some pundits claims that Hillary is in cruise mode…There still could be an upset in the making if the voting demographics hold up. Basically, Hillary won the black vote…But Bernie won the Hispanic. Hillary’s voters were older, Bernie’s under 45.
It is still a horse race.
What is interesting is the if Sanders were the candidate – he beats all the Republicans handily in polls… The outlier here being positive poll numbers for Rubio. I just don’t see a third rate candidate like Rubio not losing by double digits.
Clinton v Republicans
|RCP Average- Trump||2/2 – 2/17||45.3||42.5||Clinton +2.8|
|RCP Average – Cruz||2/2 – 2/17||45.3||44.5||Cruz +0.8|
|RCP Average – Rubio||2/2 – 2/17||47.5||42.8||Rubio +4.7|
|RCP Average – Kasich||2/10 – 2/17||47.7||40.3||Kasich +7.4|
|RCP Average – Carson||12/6 – 2/3||46.3||45.0||Clinton +1.3|
Sanders v Republicans
|RCP Average – Trump||1/9 – 2/17||48.8||41.0||Sanders +7.8|
|RCP Average – Cruz||2/2 – 2/15||44.0||44.0||Tie|
|RCP Average||2/10 – 2/15||43.0||42.5||Sanders +0.5|
|RCP Average||2/2 – 2/15||45.7||41.0||Sanders +4.7|
|RCP Average||10/29 – 2/3||45.3||44.0||Sanders +1.3|
Bernie Sanders may have fallen short against Hillary Clinton in Nevada today (Feb. 20), but there was a silver lining: The Vermont senator won 53% of the vote among Hispanic voters, in the first diverse state to hold its caucus, according to entrance polls.
Young voters were the difference: Sanders won 68% to 28% lead among minorities under 45 years old, showing that he resonates with millennials in Nevada, regardless of race, just as much as he did in New Hampshire and Iowa.
But, as FiveThirtyEight noted, Nevada’s voters are mostly old. And the support of millennials and the Latino community wasn’t enough to edge out Clinton, who won the Nevada Democratic caucus with 52% of the vote.
Entrance polls aren’t foolproof. As some pundits have said, in this particular case, they leave out Nevada’s most-populated county—Clark County. And, as Vox notes, they have incorrectly predicted the Latino vote in the past.
But based on the data currently on hand, 70% of voters who showed up to the polls today were over the age of 45. Among that group, Clinton led with two-thirds of the vote. She was also ahead with non-white voters overall, winning by a huge margin with black voters.
Clinton still has strong support among older Hispanic voters—a divide that was highlighted when Sanders supporters reportedly interrupted efforts by civil-rights leader Dolores Huerta, to provide Spanish translation at a rally at Harrahs casino.