Chances are in this election, Hillary is going to win. It however is going to turn out to be a much closer battle than it should be.
Hillary is busy making noises about sidling up to Republicans. Excuse my French …But fuck that.
Hillary’s problem is she isn’t seen as a progressive. And the 25% of the under 34 black population, which certainly isn’t going o vote for Trump…
Isn’t going to come out to vote for her.
They quite frankly, and with good reason…Don’t trust her.
Some of Hillary’s problem goes back o her Husband’s administration. Some of it goes back to Obama’s decision to play handsie with Republicans, holding back, while they screwed the country and black folks into the ground during his first term.
You don’t make peace with a rabid fox or raccoon. You kill it. I currently live in the country, and if, as has happened in the past, a rabid animal comes staggering across my yard, the the next sound you hear is my 300 Win Mag putting one through it’s heart. Why? Because there are only two alternatives when you run away. First it bites another animal propagating the problem, and second – it bites the neighbor’s kid playing in a sandbox next door. Same in politics. The Republican Party which embraced it’s “Southern Strategy” during Nixon has festered to the Party of Trump, whose racist followers have declared open season on unarmed black boys on the street corners of America. Dropping a rock on Trump doesn’t man calling him a racist. Everybody in America has already figured that isht out. I have been in the Marketing organizations of major corporations in my lifetime – driving hundreds of million of dollars, and even billions in revenue. You don’t make that kind of money advertising to two winos on a corner.
So it is time for Democrats, and Hillary to get to some reality here.
- 25% of black folks in this here US of A live in “poverty”. But only 3% of black folks actually receive “welfare”. That means that 97% of the black folks in the US find some way to put food on the table without the assistance of Uncle Sam.
- Only 7% of the black population of the United States lives in “the Ghetto” anymore. By Ghetto I mean concentrated inner city environs. About 90% of the murders and violent crimes happen within 10 miles of these locations. So what we have here is a small, dysfunctional portion of the black community as a whole, driving the entire conversation. Now, assuming I were a Millennial, I would feel real bad about a group of hardheads killing other hardheads (and collateral damage), but what gets close to my heart is having two college degrees, and not being able to pay the rent because I can’t get a job I’m trained for. You can stand on the podium and talk about the “plight” of poor black folks all you want – but WTF are you going to do for me? The funny thing about this – is the Chumph “gets it”.
- Yeah – the school to pipeline system is a problem. But there is even a bigger problem. I’ll call it the Ferguson System. The issue is a legal system in the municipal town and city courts designed to make it as difficult as possible for anyone caught up in it to move up financially. Got a flower pot on your front porch…They got a ticket, and a $50 fine which doubles every 3 days for that.Ergo, we have a system in this country which has totally gone away from serving the public…To serving the system. Under Obama, AG Loretta Lynch has begun to attack the foundations of that. Some of the Red States have started “Debtors Prisons” to enforce their will. The problem here being a municipal “tax” on the poor, for no other reason than being poor.
- Jobs…Yeah JOBS
- Fixing the banking system
The sad fact is the Republican’s accusations are at least partially true – Democrats have not delivered for the black community, one of their largest constituencies.
When a handful of liberal advocacy organizations convened a series of focus groups with young black voters last month, the assessments of Donald J. Trump were predictably unsparing.
But when the participants were asked about Hillary Clinton, their appraisals were just as blunt and nearly as biting.
“What am I supposed to do if I don’t like him and I don’t trust her?” a millennial black woman in Ohio asked. “Choose between being stabbed and being shot? No way!”
“She was part of the whole problem that started sending blacks to jail,” a young black man, also from Ohio, observed about Mrs. Clinton.
“He’s a racist, and she is a liar, so really what’s the difference in choosing both or choosing neither?” another young black woman from Ohio said.
Young African-Americans, like all voters their age, are typically far harder to drive to the polls than middle-aged and older Americans. Yet with just over two months until Election Day, many Democrats are expressing alarm at the lack of enthusiasm, and in some cases outright resistance, some black millennials feel toward Mrs. Clinton.
Their skepticism is rooted in a deep discomfort with the political establishment that they believe the 68-year-old former first lady and secretary of state represents. They share a lingering mistrust of Mrs. Clintonand her husband over criminal justice issues. They are demanding more from politicians as part of a new, confrontational wave of black activism that has arisen in response to police killings of unarmed African-Americans.
“We’re in the midst of a movement with a real sense of urgency,” explained Brittany Packnett, 31, a St. Louis-based leader in the push for police accountability. Mrs. Clinton is not yet connecting, she said, “because the conversation that younger black voters are having is no longer one about settling on a candidate who is better than the alternative.”
The question of just how many young African-Americans will show up to vote carries profound implications for this election. Mrs. Clinton is sure to dominate Mr. Trump among black voters, but her overwhelming margin could ultimately matter less than the total number of blacks who show up to vote.
To replicate President Obama’s success in crucial states such as Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, she cannot afford to let the percentage of the electorate that is black slip far below what it was in 2012. And while a modest drop-off of black votes may not imperil Mrs. Clinton’s prospects, given Mr. Trump’s unpopularity among upscale white voters, it could undermine Democrats’ effort to capture control of the Senate and win other down-ballot elections.
Mrs. Clinton’s difficulties with young African-Americans were laid bare in four focus groups conducted in Cleveland and Jacksonville, Fla., for a handful of progressive organizations spending millions on the election: the service employees union, a joint “super PAC” between organized labor and the billionaire environmentalist Tom Steyer, and a progressive group called Project New America. The results were outlined in a 25-page presentationby Cornell Belcher, a Democratic pollster, and shared with The New York Times by another party strategist who wanted to draw attention to Mrs. Clinton’s difficulties in hopes that the campaign would move more aggressively to address the matter.
Word of the report has spread in the constellation of liberal operatives and advocacy groups in recent weeks, concerning officials who saw diminished black turnout hurt Democratic candidates in the last two midterm elections.
Adding to the worries is a separate poll of African-Americans that Mr. Belcher conducted earlier in the summer indicating that Mrs. Clinton is lagging well behind Mr. Obama’s performance among young blacks in a handful of crucial states.
In Florida, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Virginia, 70 percent of African-Americans under 35 said they were backing Mrs. Clinton, 8 percent indicated support for Mr. Trump and 18 percent said they were backing another candidate or did not know whom they would support. In 2012, Mr. Obama won 92 percent of black voters under 45 nationally, according to exit polling.
Over 25 percent of African-Americans are between 18 and 34, and 44 percent are older than 35, according to 2013 census data.
“There is no Democratic majority without these voters,” Mr. Belcher said. “The danger is that if you don’t get these voters out, you’ve got the 2004 John Kerry electorate again.”
In Ohio, for example, blacks were 10 percent of the electorate in the 2004 presidential race. But when Mr. Obama ran for re-election in 2012, that number jumped to 15 percent.
What frustrates many blacks under 40 is Mrs. Clinton’s overriding focus on Mr. Trump.