The line promoted by the polls the last week or so is that the Chumph is closing in on Hillary in the race for President.
Even the famous pollster Nate Silver, upset by what he calls “inaccurate polling systems” is caught up in the fever and has artificially begun balancing polls on what he believes the “real” numbers are – which favor the Chumph by 1 1/2 to 3 points. That “balancing” seemingly is making the polls much closer that they really are.
The big very ugly hole in all of this is the same reason so many polls got President Obama’s election in 2009 and 2012 wrong. If you will remember there were a number of polls out there which showed Romney winning in 2012. Gallup actually had Romney winning.
This autopsy performed by Silver after the election of 2012, showed a heavy bias in the majority polls for the Republican candidate –
That bias really hasn’t changes, nor has it changed to support Hillary.
According to an analysis firm, Targetsmart.com, about 40,000,000 people voted early this year. Among that number…Clinton has a 9 point lead.
The damning fact is this –
In Florida – “turnout among Hispanics is up about 103% from where it was at this point in 2008, according to a CNN analysis of early voting data from Catalist.”
Early, in-person voting numbers among Latinos are “off the charts” in Florida, according to Daniel Smith, a University of Florida political science professor who runs the blog ElectionSmith. So far, 429,000 have voted in person — a 152% surge from this time in 2012.
The Austin American-Statesman reported a 26.6 increase as of last Wednesday over 2012 in early voting by Latinos with Spanish surnames in the state’s 20 biggest counties, based on an analysis by a political consultant and former researcher with the Republican Party of Texas.
Black folks…Not so much. black voter turnout in Florida so far has only been 13% above normal, vs 25% when voting for Obama.
Polls in America don’t count black and brown people.
Guess some of the house Negroes want to go back to being “happy darkies under JIm Crow” or finding out what it was like to be a Jew in Nazi Germany.
Because that is what this election is really about.
Maybe the Mexicans will save your black ass.